2019 general elections

Opposition hasn’t paid heed to Rajnath’s words

In the wake of Kairana elections, and a loss in Noorpur by a whisker, Home Minister Rajnath Singh made a statement which escaped the attention of most political observers: “One has to take two steps backwards for a giant leap,” he said.

Now the delusion of this “deep state” within India—read it as Lutyens Media, Left-Liberals, ChristoIslamic forces—was understandable. After all, last four years have been a nightmare to them. The cloak of respectability has been torn off their break-India agenda. Celebrations have been few and far between. They have every right to wet beaks in their otherwise parched political landscape. But the disappointment of Right Wingers too seems to have drowned the import of this statement of the Home Minister.

An educated guess is that Rajnath Singh through his quip was hinting at a consolidation of Hindu voters in the light of Kairana reverse. He was echoing what Sujoy Ghosh so brilliantly elucidated in OpIndia. Around 15 per cent who voted in the 2014 Lok Sabha and 2017 state assembly elections, stayed away from Kairana bypoll while the margin of victory for the opposition’s Tabassum Begun was only 4.6 %. Impressively, no less than 77 per cent of Hindus voted for BJP in Kairana. What happens when these missing 15% and the remaining Hindus do turn up in the 2019 General Elections? Another impressive analysis in SwarajyaMag reasserts the impression.

Make no mistake, Hindus in Kairana would be smarting in anger. The same is the mood in Karnataka where despite 104 seats, BJP and the people of the state are watching the tragic comedy of Congress-JDS alliance. This groundswell of anger is bound to help BJP.

Rajnath Singh is known to be a man of few words. But when he says “two steps backwards,” it suggests a great strategy of Hindu consolidation being put in place by the BJP. That perhaps might also explain why Gorakhpur and Phulpur weren’t fiercely protected. The idea is for Hindus to be mindful that they could be overwhelmed in their own country in 2019. Not only BJP cadre and supporters, but even common Hindus must not lull themselves into a false sense of security. This heightened Hindu anxiety would only end up in consolidation for BJP.

It would be utterly foolish on opposition’s part to believe Modi-Shah have been cornered. Their last four years have shown, if anything, that they invest a lot of time in strategizing and ruthlessly executing their designs. They are utterly capable of winning affections of people by a dramatic measure: It could be Ram Janmabhoomi; Income Tax abolition; money in people’s bank accounts or the long-pending Hindu issues of owning temples and Right To Education (RTE). Even an idiot would know that Modi-Shah, in the home run to 2019 General Elections, would have an ace up their sleeves.

So while opposition has shown its card—alliance and understanding at all cost without an ideology or a Prime Ministerial candidate to project—nobody knows what aces BJP has up its sleeve. A party which went into 2014 General Elections with 4 states today has 19 of them. In just four years such an expansion has come about because of BJP’s skin-in-the-game. The micro management of an election, from the local issues to booth management, nobody does better than BJP.

So when Rajnath Singh says “two steps backwards for a giant leap,” opposition must stop in their tracks and ponder. They have walked into a trap and are more discredited than ever. Their game is out in the open even as they are clueless on the next move of Modi-Shah duo. They would have nowhere to run but to their doom, come 2019 General Elections.

Indian Media and the judiciary canard

It’s now given that attacks on judiciary would hog the front pages of newspapers and prime time television till the 2019 General Elections.

Newspapers would speculate on the “allegations” whether the Chief Justice of India ought to be impeached or not but you would never see them beat one’s own brains whether the four “dissenting” SC judges have themselves invited an impeachment motion on their press conference earlier this year (as opined by former SC judge RS Sodhi).

You would see these presstitutes flagpole government’s apparent delay in confirming the appointments of judges, initiated by the SC Collegium, but you would never see them brainstorm if government’s demand for a more transparent appointment system is justified given how a particular judge, belonging to Collegium itself, was ordered by the SC itself to undergo mental “stability” examination!

The Lutyens’ Media would run up any given lampost to browbeat the NDA government for trying to “encroach” upon the judiciary but you would never see them admit that a Law Minister was always the part of the judicial appointment system till the Collegium came about in 1993.

(That “enroahed” system got a judgment against the sitting Prime Minister of India by a Allahabad High Court judge. That “encroached” system  produced judges of the caliber of Justices Vivian Bose, Hidayatullah, JS Verma etc. What Collegium has produced, well…)

These despicable hacks would drown you with the noise that government is taking over the judiciary. They would never clarify as to how the “A.J. Raja acquittal” or Bapu Asaram guilty pronouncement then came about.

The crooked media would never tell you why sexual harassment charges against judges are dismissed on less-than-convincing grounds.

The deceitful pen-pushers wouldn’t tell an opaque system encourages judges to be manipulated—or why else most of the Supreme Court judges end up getting lucrative post-retirement jobs—and that it must be done away with.

The shameless mainstream media wouldn’t encourage dismantling the opaque system even after names of corrupt former CJIs are presented in a sealed envelope in the court. It would not question a Kapil Sibal why he didn’t asked for “impeachment” motion in above allegations of corruption and sexual misdemeanours against the honourable judges.

Best of all, you would never see the gutter media present the fact that after all this, NDA has cleared the appointment of more judges than ever per year.

So cram up the facts and be ready with answers when propaganda hits your face next time.

Congress is over in our lifetime

The other day, having a conversation with a senior Congress leader, I smelled the smoke of a pyre that has burnt itself out. Skin, veins, eyes, organs, blood all reduced to ashes; dying embers long dead. Yet here was this man, almost a ghost, preening on his party’s excellent future.

The recent assembly elections had just been out. Congress had met the fate which once was Pompeii’s—buried under the fire, pumice, debris and rocks of Mt. Vesuvius’ eruption. Wiped out of history’s consciousness. One day, Congress like Pompeii could be rediscovered—for the time being it’s irrelevant in India’s scheme of things.

This idiot couldn’t comprehend the significance. That Congress was still around in 11 states in the 2014 election debacle; that it’s tally now is left only to seven—only one state of consequence in Karnataka. Bihar lost since 1990; UP since 1989; MP since 2003; booted out of Tamil Nadu since 1967; the same as in West Bengal; a spent force in Andhra Pradesh and the newbie Telengana. Gujarat? You said it. Maharashtra, Karantaka, Haryana, Punjab and Rajasthan is a disaster hidden from this joker’s view.

It didn’t register with him that Congress’ alliance is bad news for unsuspecting regional satraps these days. Ask Left who has been left singed in West Bengal; or DMK in Tamil Nadu which is in the midst of self-flagellation. It also escaped him that BJP rules in 16 of 29 states and has approval of 45% of population—contrast to Congress’ 6-7% share.

Yet this imbecile chose to fly in the face of logic. He pointed out Congress return from the disaster of Emergency-hit 1977; on how it came back to bite its critics from the hopelessness of 1989 and 1996.  Under the leadership of Rahul Baba, Congress could only look up.

The fact is Rahul Gandhi has brought Congress closer to extinction. He still believes in such sycophants ignoring the verdict of nation’s electorates. It’s lost on him that Rahul Gandhi’s presence in Bihar in 2010 was worth no better than three seats; that similar was the case in Uttar Pradesh in 2012. Frankly, Congress can’t be guaranteed a double-digit Lok Sabha seats in 2019. This is extinction, a Pompeii-fate nothing less.

I see a certainty in this prediction. Outside the ambit of Nehru-Gandhi dynasty, there have been stalwarts from time to time who redeemed the struggling party. Sardar Vallabhai Patel unifed India; Lal Bahadur Shastri blazed the Green Revolution and PV Narasimha Rao introduced a liberalized vision to a largely socialist India.  But these were exceptions. The Nehru-Gandhi dynasty never allowed a credible second line of command to grow within the party. Starting with Pt. Jawaharlal Nehru—in the manner John Mathai and C. Rajagopalachari were cast aside—to Indira Gandhi to Sonia Gandhi, credible voices were never allowed to grow. Manmohan Singh…P. Chidambaram even didn’t fight the elections. AK Antony was disgraced; Pranab Mukherjee moved to Rashtrapati Bhawan. The next round of leaders are Kapil Sibal and Salman Khurshid who already have lost face in elections.  

The arrogance of dynasty, like a Banyan tree, stunts the growth of everyone under its’ shadow. There’s hardly a credible leader left with the party. Those with any respect or vision long left the premises to take roots in their regions. And lo and behold, it’s Congress which is seeking them out far and wide in India.

Sonia wanted authority without responsibility; so is the case with Rahul Gandhi. They aren’t too keen to get their hands dirty and prefer to surround themselves with dim-wits like the one I ran into the other day.

With 20 state elections due in next four years, Congress’ use-by-date is over. BJP has reclaimed Chhatisgarh and Madhya Pradesh; grabbed Rajasthan and Goa and has a first-time government in Maharashtra and Haryana.  The “Congress-Mukt Bharat”  is for real.